Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 10.517879 12.140156 13.876265 15.866398 18.078433 20.455460 23.196591
2025-06-01 8.359821 10.457188 12.842012 15.733994 19.124626 22.952150 27.576734
2025-06-08 6.761346 9.074716 11.846279 15.369792 19.685278 24.752551 31.102781
2025-06-15 5.793815 8.271558 11.377320 15.486583 20.704821 27.031363 35.194393
2025-06-22 4.956636 7.500557 10.826285 15.389857 21.375816 28.840745 38.719946
2025-06-29 4.384090 6.995383 10.540909 15.565277 22.343925 31.004289 42.714313
2025-07-06 3.914725 6.567721 10.299727 15.747391 23.287311 33.131191 46.697241
2025-07-13 3.602573 6.325310 10.279135 16.203798 24.588833 35.742691 51.366337
2025-07-20 3.290949 6.043352 10.166306 16.502309 25.661892 38.062693 55.699321
2025-07-27 2.942241 5.660323 9.863721 16.490539 26.276230 39.758138 59.221380
2025-08-03 2.495965 5.063380 9.179075 15.854516 25.944582 40.112218 60.897919
2025-08-10 2.195648 4.676162 8.784249 15.618545 26.163533 41.217589 63.614723
2025-08-17 1.906210 4.275141 8.335111 15.269255 26.196235 42.060423 65.997549
2025-08-24 1.681987 3.964754 8.006659 15.082347 26.452600 43.217824 68.841766
2025-08-31 1.455070 3.618221 7.583176 14.705740 26.385447 43.882668 70.978026
2025-09-07 1.326082 3.449653 7.456095 14.807913 27.064200 45.662521 74.767737
2025-09-14 1.183750 3.233739 7.222993 14.710090 27.409964 46.940922 77.840625
2025-09-21 1.089910 3.109524 7.148045 14.877347 28.184870 48.885523 81.940493
2025-09-28 1.005827 2.995586 7.081845 15.052162 28.972516 50.864017 86.129488
2025-10-05 0.957935 2.959216 7.162551 15.492065 30.213470 53.573902 91.478490
2025-10-12 0.897799 2.885385 7.161800 15.779904 31.203334 55.909933 96.302671
2025-10-19 0.814209 2.741420 7.005977 15.768479 31.676625 57.434795 99.908365
2025-10-26 0.687221 2.464453 6.547576 15.154879 31.076837 57.219402 100.805590